GenCos: Gas Price Hike Looms as NMDPRA Raises Domestic Supply Cost
.Electricity Generation Companies (GenCos) are set to face higher operating costs following a hike in domestic gas prices by the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA), a move expected to impact thermal power generation.
A notice posted on the official X handle of the NMDPRA on Tuesday, stated that gas supplied to the power sector has been increased to $2.18 per metric million British thermal units (MMBTU) from the $2.13 MMBTU current price.
For commercial users, the price is now $2.68 MMBTU from $2.63, this suggests an increase of $0.5 MMBTU for both customers.
The notice which was signed by the Authority Chief Executive of NMDPRA, Engr. Saidu A. Mohammed, however, said the increase will take effect from April 1.
The notice noted that: “The Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) 2021 assented to by the President on the 16th of August 2021 and gazetted on the 27th of August 2021 provides a clear regulatory framework for the determination of a Market-based pricing regime for the domestic gas market in Nigeria.”
“In line with Section 167, the Third and Fourth Schedule of the PIA 2021, the Nigerian Midstream & Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) is mandated to determine the Domestic Base Price (DBP) and the marketable wholesale price of natural gas supplied to the strategic sectors as defined in Table below.
“The Domestic Base Price at the marketable gas delivery point under Section 167 (1) and other provisions of the PIA shall be determined based on regulations which incorporate among such other matters, the following principles.
“The price shall not be higher than the average of similar natural gas prices in major emerging countries that are significant producers of natural gas. Lowest cost of gas supply based on three tier cost of supply framework. Market-related prices tied to International Benchmarks.
Accordingly, taking into cognizance the provisions of the PIA, market realities, as well as the gazetted Gas Pricing and Domestic Demand Regulations, the NMDPRA hereby establishes the new Domestic Base Price as $2.18/MMBtu and wholesale prices of natural gas in the strategic sector, effective 1 April 2026, as highlighted.”
The new price means the federal government’s subsidy will likely increase.
While it is the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) that sets tariffs for electricity consumers, it may be forced to take an upward review of the current price paid by all Bands.
For Band A, the government has stopped intervening in their tariff and has liberalized, as such, any increase by NERC means their tariff will be more that the current N209 kilowatt hours they pay.
For the remaining bands, the government incurred a total of N1.92trn debt in 2025 which will likely increase with the freeze in tariff increase of the remaining bands.
While it paid just N71.49bn, the new gas price will put more pressure on the Gencos, who are feeling the pain of the government not clearing its over N6trn debt in the sector.
For many Nigerians connected to the national grid, it means more blackout if the gas suppliers reduce the amount of gas supplied to the GenCos.
