Elon Musk predicts establishment parties will ‘CRUMBLE’ in Britain – and here are the graphs that PROVE it
Elon Musk has shared an image of Keir Starmer’s plummeting approval ratings with the prediction ‘all establishment parties in the UK will get crushed in the next election’.
The world’s richest man, who was recently appointed head of Government Efficiency, has been railing against Starmer’s Labour government in recent weeks, tweeting that Sir Keir had gone ‘full Stalin’ over his farm tax.
In the graph, Starmer’s approval rating falls from plus 11 just after the July 4 election to its current low of minus 38, the fastest fall in popularity of a leader in modern times.
Indeed, polling by J.L Partners also found Rachel Reeves’ popularity to have dropped similarly quickly, while only four per cent of respondents had a ‘very positive’ view of Streeting, Cooper, Lammy and Miliband.
Worryingly for Labour and the Conservatives, the polling found Nigel Farage’s popularity to be on the rise.
The Reform UK leader is now more popular than the Chancellor and Prime Minister after his popularity rose from minus 18 in June 2024 to minus 10 today.
This comes after Reform UK – the main challenger to the establishment parties – recorded some impressive results in local elections since the General Election.
They may only have won three council seats, but they have recorded the largest vote share bump of any party, up 5.9 per cent.
In the same period, Labour have lost 22 seats and seen their vote share plummet 8.4 per cent. The Tories gained 17 seats, but only increased their vote share by 0.7 per cent.
Council elections use the First Past the Post voting system, however. Reform have traditionally suffered from this system as they often secure a large number of votes but comes second or third in tightly contested elections.
Elon Musk may not have been thinking about Wales’ parliament when he predicted the crumbling of major parties in the UK, but it is the Celtic Nation where this is most likely to happen.
Wales’ proportional voting system allocates seats via number of votes secured. A recent poll by Opinium found Reform to be the biggest party in Wales.
Their vote share of 28 per cent was even bigger than Labour’s 26 per cent, indicating that after 25 years in power, Keir Starmer’s party’s grip of Wales be slackening.
Latest Senedd analysis by Wales Online indicated Reform could become the third biggest party in Wales if the election was held today.
Opinium’s poll also recorded Reform’s highest score UK-wide as the party hit 21 per cent, just three percentage points behind the Conservatives.
It found Labour’s lead had subsided to 30 per cent, the Tories remained on 24 per cent while Nigel Farage’s party were up one per cent to go within three of Kemi Badenoch’s.
Reform UK Chairman, Zia Yusuf said: “This polling confirms what we all know, Reform UK has all the momentum in British politics.
“We are reconstituting the centre right of British politics and our national support has now reached new highs at 21 per cent.
“Whilst the Tories flounder despite a new leader, we are closing in on 100,000 members and preparing to fight and win council seats across the country next May.”
The next General Election is not due until 2029, but Wales’ next Senedd elections are due much sooner in May 2026.